A busy mix of work and football last weekend prevented a Sunday Betting Preview, but we did hammer out some Thanksgiving Day selections that were a mixed bag. But with the regular season winding down, it’s time to get a few winners in the bag to give us some playoff spends!
PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ CINCINNATTI BENGALS
A huge game this week on the banks of the Ohio River, as the Bengals look to extend their divisional lead over the visiting Steelers. This could very well turn into a slug fest with so much at stake, with UNDER 47 PTS @ 10/11 the first selection of week 14.
Andy Dalton was poor last week in Tampa Bay, but his Bengals squad managed to squeeze out a vital win. He has a 7:10 TD-to-INT ratio over the past six weeks, while the former TCU man has faced Pittsburgh six times now entering his fourth year in the league, throwing just seven touchdown passes against five picks. Look for the Steelers to load the box to stop a decent Bengals running attack and make Dalton beat them.
Despite Pacman Jones and Terrance Newman being some of the elder statesmen in terms of defensive backs in the NFL, they’ve done a nice job this term limiting opposing passing attacks, as neither Vincent Jackson or Mike Evans passed 50 yards receiving last week. Antonio Brown has had a fantastic year so far for Pittsburgh but he may face a tougher task this week against the pair. Le’Veon Bell has carried the Steelers running game, touching the ball 64 times over the past two games, but again he could find life more difficult this week going against a Bengal unit that has held opposing running backs to 373 yards on 114 carries (3.27 YPC) over their last four games.
Look for defences to step up in this one. UNDER 47 PTS @ 10/11 opens this week’s selections, as Pittsburgh grinds out a clutch 23-20 win on the road. AJ Green to score the first touchdown @ 13/2 appeals given the struggles Ike Taylor had on his return last week against New Orleans.
CAROLINA PANTHERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Gonna roll the dice here in the Superdome with another divisional match up in which the Saints finally stake their claim for the NFC South division. NEW ORLEANS -10 PTS @ 10/11 is next.
Maybe last week was the game that finally broke the Saints out of the sleepwalking state they’ve been in all season. With the NFC South there for the taking, New Orleans snapped a three-game losing streak, as well as winning on the road for only the second time all year in Pittsburgh. The Saints now return home looking to build on that momentum ahead of a potential division-winning showdown with Atlanta in a fortnight’s time.
In the last three meetings between these two squads, Carolina has failed to score more than 17 points on each occasion. A similar total this time means Brees and co need four touchdowns and a couple of boots from Shayne Graham for the bet to click, easily within their range. Brees has thrown multiple touchdown passes in all but one of his six 2014 Superdome games, completing 71.5% of his throws with a 7.56 YPA, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Look for more success against the Panthers for Jimmy Graham. The former hoops man has scored a touchdown or passed 100 yards in each of his seven outings against this defence.
Look for the boys from the Bayou to grab a hold of this division by the scruff of the neck this week, as NEW ORLEANS -10 PTS @ 10/11 is next on the slip, Nola taking it 31-17, with the main man Graham crossing first @ 13/2.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS
Cutting straight to the chase here, these two teams are offensively challenged. Despite the low line, we’ll take the UNDER 40.5 PTS @ 10/11 to round off week 14.
Arizona has held opposing quarterbacks to a 9:11 TD-to-INT ratio over their last eight games while play caller Todd Bowles’ blitz-heavy defense has racked up 18 sacks over the past four outings. Going against a Chiefs side that incredibly has still yet to have a wide receiver catch a touchdown pass. Patrick Peterson was embarrassed by former SEC foe Julio Jones last week, but look for a bounce back by the former LSU man back in Phoenix.
Carson Palmer is already on the shelf for the year, while Larry Fitzgerald’s age has finally caught up with him and Andre Ellington will also miss this week’s tilt, leaving a void in the playmaking areas of this Cardinals offence. Palmer’s replacement Drew Stanton is stinking the place up. He’s thrown five interceptions over his last three games and led just the one solitary touchdown drive across the last 11 quarters of football.
Not one for fantasy players, or neutrals, but we’ll dive right into this one with UNDER 40.5 PTS @ 10/11 rounding off the week, as Kansas City breaks their mini-losing streak with a 23-13 win in the desert. A bold pick of Alex Smith to run one in for the first score @ 20/1 isn’t the worst price in the world.
- Top cover man for the Indianapolis Colts Vontae Davis is out for the meeting with Josh Gordon and the Browns. Could this be the week Gordon gets his first touchdown of the year. Over 85.5 yards @ 10/11 is interesting, with Gordon to score the first touchdown @ 9/1 some decent value.
- The Seattle D has returned to last year’s standards that carried them to the Super Bowl. Now the acid test against Chip Kelly’s uptempo offence in Philly, a test I think they’ll pass. Seahawks for the upset win at 11/10 could be a nice odds booster on any accumulators this weeekend.
- JJ Watt to score the first touchdown is worst priced 14/1! Madness. Shorter price than half of the Jacksonville skill players. MVP.