WEEK 2 RECAP
The least said about week 2 the better. What a shocker that was. Almost as bad a week as Scottish Nationalists have had.
The Dallas Cowboys finally found a somewhat legit defence to see the total well under in Tennessee, Antonio Gates rolled back the clock to guide San Diego past reigning champions Seattle, though there was plenty of offensive firepower on show in Indianpolis to see the total over, giving us some respite as one of three main selections landed.
Let’s move on though and hopefully move upwards as we enter week 3!
DALLAS COWBOYS @ ST LOUIS RAMS
We’re going to the well once more with the Dallas Cowboys, but this time we’re going to take the spread. Dallas -1 pt.
If you had your TV on standard definition, you could have been confused with the Cowboys of the 90’s last week in Tennessee. DeMarco Murray was running the ball in Emmitt Smith like fashion, while Tony Romo and Dez Bryant channelled their inner Aikman and Irvin to hook up on a smart touchdown grab in the second half.
It seems though as change in philosophy is coming in Dallas, with a young offensive line and a top 5 back, Romo could be handing the ball off more time than he throws it.
St Louis could be a perfect opponent for Dallas to continue their running success. In 2011 Murray torched the Rams for 253 yards on the ground and again last year he settled for a mere 175.
St Louis last week struggled past a Tampa Bay outfit last week. Since that game the Buccaneers were dismantled by Atlanta this past Thursday so the form has hardly been franked, to lend a horse racing term.
We’ve missed Dallas with a 1pt advantage but Dallas -1pt at 10/11 appeals just as much given their successful recent history of pounding the ball on this St Louis outfit and Big D takes it 23-20, with that man Murray scoring the first touchdown at 13/2.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Which Jags show up here, is it the team that put it up to Philadelphia for a half on opening weekend, or the team that got thumped in Washington last week. This selection is a purely based on stats. Under 46 PTS.
The last six meetings between these two teams has seen the total go under on each occasion. Interestingly the line has never been as high as it is here at 46 pts (with certain firms).
In the last 3 clashes the Indy defence hasn’t given up more than 10 pts, so it looks as though the Colts really target this game to get what is often a struggling defence back on track.
On the flip side of things, Andrew Luck and the offence has been rolling quite nicely, but he Jags do have a number of smart players on their own defence, so a comfortable win for Indianapolis somewhere in the region of 30-13 will see this total Under 46 PTS at 10/11, with Andrew Luck scrambling in for the first touchdown at 18/1.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
The Chip Kelly bandwagon went rolling on last week as Philly beat Indianapolis to move to 2-0, while in Washington, the Redskins lost Robert Griffin III but Kirk Cousins stepped in to guide the Redskins to a 41-10 obliteration of the Jags. Somewhat cautiously we’ll go for the Over 50 PTS at Lincoln Financial Field.
Both Eagles games so far this season have seen the total over the points, while their four pre-season games were also over the totals. In each of those six games, the Eagles scored 30 or more points. They scored 34 alone in the second half against Jacksonville after being shutout the whole of the opening 30 minutes. Add in the fact that quarterback Nick Foles has missed a few throws he was making a year ago, there is the potential for even more out of Kelly’s dynamic attack.
On the Washington side of things, a certain Desean Jackson will be eager to make his mark back on his old stomping ground, while with Cousins under centre, Jay Gruden has his desired pocket passer to spread the ball around.
NFC East clashes are usually close affairs, which doesn’t appeal for spread purposes, but with two top offenses on display, the Over 50 pts at 10/11 will do instead. Can third time be a charm for our Zach Ertz first touchdown selection? He gets one more crack at 10/1
· In this section last week we made the point of teams being desperate for a result after starting with a loss. That rings true again this week, with teams falling to 0-3 leaving themselves with a mountain of Everest-like proportions to climb. This week’s prime example is the Kansas City Chiefs. 7/4 on the road at a hardly stellar Miami Dolphins outfit is this week’s upset.
· Are the New York Jets for real? A win on opening day against a lowly Oakland Raiders side was followed by a meltdown in Green Bay, dropping a game they once led 21-3. Against Chicago they’ll face a team brimming with confidence no doubt after a fantastic comeback of their own to topple the 49ers in their first game at Levi’s Stadium. Take the Bears +3 or for the brave the Bears on the match betting at 5/4.
· Jeremey Hill looks like the smash to Giovanni Bernard’s dash in Cincinnati, with Hue Jackson describing the backs as a “tandem” this past week. Hill to find paydirt first at 12/1 is a tasty price given his duties as short-yardage back.